AK-AL Alaska's At-Large District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Don Young

51.8%

73.7%

Alysse Galvin

48.2%

26.3%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-4.6%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

41.0%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Alaska’s first congressional district represents the entire state. The most populous cities are Anchorage and Juneau. Besides these cities, the state is mostly rural. Democrat Alyse Gavin and Republican Incumbent Don Young are running for the seat. Young has already served 23 terms in office making him the longest serving member currently in Congress. He seeks to develop plans for Alaska’s future in energy, defense, and education. Galvin has worked odd jobs throughout her life, recently finding stability as a substitute teacher and businesswoman. Her goals are to provide universal healthcare and bolster the quality of public education.

District Updates and Posts

Polls in Our Model - AK01

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct 26-29    Ivan Moore Research     500LV    Galvin 49%    Young 48%

Oct 13-16   Lake Research Partners   500LV    Galvin 44%    Young 48%

Oct 12-14   Alaska Survey Research   500LV    Galvin 47%    Young 49%    

Oct 11-12   Public Policy Polling         645V      Galvin 43%    Young 46%

Oct 1-6       Alaska Survey Research   500LV    Galvin 46%    Young 50%

Sep 21-25  Alaska Survey Research   500LV    Galvin 43%    Young 54%  

Jun 7-12    Lake Research Partners    540LV    Galvin 36%    Young 40%