MBHS Polistat's
ORACLE of Blair
2018 House Election Forecast
Current Prediction
Each square is one congressional district.
Recent Updates & Posts
Blog Post
How our Model Compared to Other Models
PoliStat | Nov. 8, 2018, 8:56 a.m.
A Log-Loss Analysis of the House Models of ORACLE, FiveThirtyEight, and Crosstab
Blog Post
While We’re at it, Let’s Make a Senate Model
PoliStat | Nov. 6, 2018, 3:26 p.m.
A Rudimentary Senate Election Model Based off of ORACLE (finalized 11/6/2018, 3:26 pm)
Blog Post
Should The Economist take the Economy into Account?
PoliStat | Nov. 5, 2018, 7:50 a.m.
A comparison of The Economist's prediction model and Blair ORACLE's model
Blog Post
Blairvoyance and CANTOR
PoliStat | Nov. 3, 2018, 5:52 p.m.
We analyze and criticize CANTOR and Blairvoyance, systems which attempt to simulate polls in districts without them.
Blog Post
The Pennsylvania Predicament
PoliStat | Nov. 3, 2018, 5:52 p.m.
How Redistricting Affects Democracy and Prediction Models