MBHS Polistat's

ORACLE of Blair

2018 House Election Forecast

Current Prediction

Each square is one congressional district.

Recent Updates & Posts

Blog Post

The Year of the Woman?

PoliStat | Nov. 3, 2018, 5:51 p.m.
An Investigation into the Differences in Predicted Election Performance Based on Candidate Gender

Blog Post

What if We Threw a Neural Network Over the Whole Thing?

PoliStat | Nov. 3, 2018, 5:51 p.m.
An alternative approach to election modeling

Blog Post

Model Discrepancies in Northwest Appalachia

PoliStat | Nov. 3, 2018, 5:50 p.m.
A Comparison Between the Oracle of Blair and FiveThirtyEight's House Models in Ohio and West Virginia

Blog Post

A Macroscopic View of Models

PoliStat | Nov. 3, 2018, 1:01 p.m.
We examine the differences between ORACLE and FiveThirtyEight's predicted vote share.

Blog Post

Predicting the Past

PoliStat | Nov. 2, 2018, 2:35 p.m.
Can we use our model to predict the 2014 House of Representatives Election?