CA-45 California's 45th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Katie Porter

50.5%

57.8%

Mimi Walters

49.5%

42.2%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

3.9%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

49.6%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

This district is centered in Orange County and includes the communities like Irvine, Tustin, North Tustin, Villa Park, Orange, Anaheim Hills, Laguna Hills, Lake Forest, parts of Aliso Viejo, parts of Laguna Niguel, Rancho Santa Margarita, and Mission Viejo. The House candidates are Democrat Katie Porter and Republican incumbent Mimi Walters. In 2012, Obama won 44% of the vote. In 2014, Mimi Walters won with 65.1% of the vote. In 2016, Walters won with 58.6% of the vote.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 19, 2018, 9:05 a.m.

Oct 14-17    Public Opinion Strategies    400LV    Porter 46%    Walters 50%

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Sept. 21-25    Siena College    518LV    Porter 48%     Walters 43%