FL-15 Florida's 15th District


Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Ross Spano

51.0%

65.7%

Kristen Carlson

49.0%

34.3%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

This district is a weird backward-L-shaped that roughly contains the eastern suburbs of Tampa (specifically northern Hillsborough, northern Polk, and southern Lake counties), which means it’s disgusting. Hillsborough voted Democrat in previous presidential races (2008 - 2016) with around a 6 point margin, but Polk voted Republican with the same margin, and Lake is Republican by around 17 points. Kristen Carlson (D) is a lawyer with experience in both the public and private sectors, although with no previous political experience. Ross Spano (R) is the incumbent, who was one of 30 Republican sponsors for the “Florida Unborn Victims of Violence Act”. He also owns the law firm Christmas, Spano & Owen, which is a pretty awesome name for a law firm.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

Oct. 16-19    Siena College/New York Times    499 LV    Carlson 43%    Spano 43%

Oct. 17-18    Remington Research Group    1,369 LV    Carlson 41%    Spano 47%

Oct. 16-18    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner    400 LV    Carlson 47%    Spano 47%

Oct. 9-14    SurveyUSA    591 LV    Carlson 45%    Spano 45%

Oct. 3-4    WPA Intelligence    418 LV    Carlson 39%    Spano 46%

Sep. 22-27    Bold Blue Campaigns    500 LV    Carlson 46%    Spano 49%

Sep. 4-8    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner    400 LV    Carlson 48%    Spano 47%