FL-26 Florida's 26th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

50.5%

58.0%

Carlos Curbelo

49.5%

42.0%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

0.9%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

46.5%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

This district is located in south Florida and includes parts of Key West and the Everglades. The district is 86.3% white and 69.5% Hispanic. Carlos Curbelo, the Republican incumbent since 2015, is a Cuban-American from Miami. He serves on the House Ways and Means Committee and his priorities include criminal justice reform and an improved affordable health care system. His opponent, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) immigrated from Ecuador when she was young. Her priorities include expanding access to health care in her district and bringing good-paying jobs to south Florida. Obama received 55.79% of the vote in 2012 and Hillary received 58.38% of the vote.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Nov. 6, 2018, 10:39 a.m.

Oct. 19-24       Siena College/New York Times                  499 LV    Mucarsel-Powell 45%    Curbelo 44%

Oct. 3-9             Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.    625 LV    Mucarsel-Powell 45%    Curbelo 46%

Sept. 27-Oct. 1 GBA Strategies                                           500 LV    Mucarsel-Powell 50%    Curbelo 48%

Sept. 23-27    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner                           500 LV   Mucarsel-Powell 49%    Curbelo 48%   

Sept. 17-19    Pubic Policy Polling                                     511 V     Mucarsel-Powell 46%    Curbelo 45%

Sept. 13-17    Siena College/New York Times                  509 LV   Mucarsel-Powell 44%    Curbelo 47%

July 16-22    GBA Strategies                                              500 LV   Mucarsel-Powell 41%    Curbelo 48%

Mar. 17-22    DCCC Targeting Team                                   400 LV   Mucarsel-Powell 40%    Curbelo 45%