IA-01 Iowa's 1st District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Abby Finkenauer

53.4%

92.6%

Rod Blum

46.6%

7.4%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

0.4%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

46.0%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Iowa’s first congressional district is located in the northeastern part of the state. It is 66% urban and 93% white non hispanic. 
This district went for Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016. The republicans have only controlled the house since 2014, having one by a margin of 2.3% in 2014 and 7.6% in 2016.
The Democratic candidate is challenger Abby Finkenauer; a member of the Iowa house of representatives. Finkenauer supports rebuilding America’s infrastructure, increasing access to affordable healthcare, and fighting for working families. 
The Republican incumbent is Rob Blum. Blum is a two time incumbent running for his third term. Blum identifies as a Tea Party Republican.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

                                                                                Dem    Rep

Oct. 12-13    The Polling Company Inc.    400 RV    45%    43%

Oct. 3-4        The Polling Company Inc.    400 RV    44%    43%

Sep. 18-20    Siena College/NY Times    502 LV    52%    37%

Sep. 6-8        Emerson College                 250 RV    43%    38%

Feb. 13-14    DCCC Targeting Team         400 RV    47%    41%

Feb. 12-13    Public Policy Polling            742 V      43%    42%