LA-04 Louisiana's 4th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Mike Johnson

60.4%

95.5%

Ryan Trundle

39.6%

4.5%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-14.2%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

35.8%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Louisiana’s fourth congressional district lies in the northwestern area of the state, including the cities of Minden and DeRidder.  It’s 58% urban with a population of 753,181. 60% of the population is white and 34% is black, with the median income residing at $39,748. The candidates are Ryan Trundle (D) and Mike Johnson (R). Ryan Trundle stands for a higher minimum wage, universal health care and legalizing marijuana. Mike Johnson is the incumbent and believes in strict immigration, a reformed national budget and funding the military. In 2012, Obama won 40.22% of the two party vote during the presidential election, Democrats won 0% of the two-party vote in 2014, Clinton won 37.65% of the two-party vote in 2016 and Marshall Jones won only 34.8% of the two-party vote in 2016.

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