MI-05 Michigan's 5th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Daniel Kildee

65.0%

99.6%

Travis Wines

35.0%

0.4%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

9.6%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

63.2%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Michigan’s fifth congressional district is located in eastern Michigan, specifically in the Lower Peninsula. The district is 77% White, 17% Black, and 5% Hispanic. The district has voted Democratic in all of its congressional elections since 2000. Dan Kildee has won the 2012, 2014, and 2016 elections with over 60% of the vote. The candidates running in this election are Kildee (D) and Travis Wines (R). Kildee has experience working as a county commissioner and treasurer. Wines is a US Navy veteran. Our fundamental-only model predicts a Democratic win.

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