MT-AL Montana's At-Large District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Greg Gianforte

52.6%

79.5%

Kathleen Williams

47.4%

20.5%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-7.0%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

38.6%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

The race in Montana’s At-Large congressional district is between Republican incumbent Greg Gianforte and Democratic challenger Kathleen Williams. Gianforte has the advantage of running in a historically Republican-dominated district, which Trump carried by 12.26% in 2016. The district is 54% urban, 46% rural, and 90.4% white.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct. 24026 Gravis Marketing Williams 48% Gianforte 48%

Oct. 10-18 University of Montana 533 LV WIlliams 46% Gianforte 45%

Oct. 8-13 MSU-Billings 471 LV Willians 41% Gianforte 44%

Sep. 15-Oct.6 MSU-Bozeman 2079 RV Williams 40% Gianforte 48%

Sep. 19-22 Gravis Marketing 710 LV Williams 42% Gianforte 51%

Sep. 6-16 Benenson Strategy Group 950 LV Williams 45% Gianforte 46%

Aug. 13-31 University of Montana 466 LV Williams 51% Gianforte 38%

Jun. 11-13 Gravis Marketing 469 LV Williams 49% Gianforte 43%