NE-01 Nebraska's 1st District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Jeff Fortenberry

60.9%

98.7%

Jessica McClure

39.1%

1.3%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-13.0%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

32.6%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Nebraska's 1st Congressional district is 65.21% urban and 34.79% rural. The district is 92.1% White, 4.2% Hispanic, 1.5% Asian, and 1.4% Black. The Democratic candidate Jessica McClure defeated candidate Dennis Crawford in the primary election. The Republican candidate and incumbent Jeff Fortenberry has represented Nebraska's 1st Congressional District since 2005. This district very reliably votes Republican, with Republican candidates winning by solid margins in House elections since 2000. With only the fundamentals, we predict that this district will vote Republican.

District Updates and Posts