NE-02 Nebraska's 2nd District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Don Bacon

52.8%

77.8%

Kara Eastman

47.2%

22.2%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-0.5%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

45.1%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional district is 97.86% urban and 34.79% rural. The district is 81.6% White, 10.9% Hispanic, 9.8% Black, and 3.1% Asian. The Democratic Kara Eastman defeated candidate Brad Ashford in the Democratic primary by a slim 3 percentage points. Ashford was the representative for this district from 2015 to 2017. Republican candidate and incumbent Don Bacon succeeded Ashford. Since the 2000 presidential election, this district has voted Republican by at least a 15% margin. In the House elections, this district voted reliably Republican, however, recently, this trend has faltered. 

District Updates and Posts

NE-02 Polls in Our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

OCT. 1-2    Meeting Street Research    400 RV    Eastman 40%    Bacon 49%

SEP. 27-30    Greenberg Quinlan Rosner    400 LV    Eastman 45%    Bacon 49%

SEP. 23-26    Siena College/New York Times    512 LV    Eastman 42%    Bacon 51%