NH-01 New Hampshire's 1st District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Chris Pappas

54.4%

92.9%

Eddie Edwards

45.6%

7.1%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-2.5%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

47.5%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

With Representative Carol Shea-Porter not running for re-election, New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district will see Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican Eddie Edwards vie for an open seat. Although both Romney and Trump won in the district, Democrats won in House elections each of the past two races. The district is 66.7% urban and 93.6% white.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct. 27-29 Emerson College 570 LV Pappas 48% Edwards 46%

Oct. 10-18 University of New Hampshire 265 LV Pappas 46% Edwards 37%

Oct. 10-15 St. Anselm 234 LV Pappas 44% Edwards 36%

Oct. 10-12 Emerson COllege 387 LV Pappas 40% Edwards 35%

Sep. 25-27 OnMessage Inc. 400 LV Pappas 40% Edwards 42%

Sep. 21-26 American Research Group 400 RV Pappas 55% Edwards 33%