NM-01 New Mexico's 1st District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Debra A. Haaland

57.4%

96.1%

Janice E. Arnold-Jones

42.6%

3.9%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

8.9%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

58.9%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

New Mexico’s first congressional district is made up of central New Mexico. It is made up of Torrance and Bernalillo counties. It includes a majority of Albuquerque. Debra A. Haaland is running in the Democratic seat and Janice E. Arnold Jones is running in the Republican seat. Haaland is running on a platform of gender equality and universal medical care. Arnold-Jones supports growing NM industries. The seat has gone to the democrats in the last 5 elections. In the 2016 presidential election Hilary Clinton won 59.7% of the two-party vote.

District Updates and Posts

Polls in our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct 26-Nov 1 Research & Polling Inc    419LV Haaland 50% Arnold 38%

Oct 29        Carroll Strategies               452LV    Haaland 51%    Arnold 43%

Oct 24-26  Emerson College               327LV     Haaland 51%    Arnold  41%

Sep 7-13    Research & Polling Inc     410LV    Haaland 49%    Arnold 41%

Jun 15-16    Carroll Strategies            419LV    Haaland 47%    Arnold 43%