NM-02 New Mexico's 2nd District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Yvette Herrell

51.5%

67.1%

Xochitl Torres Small

48.5%

32.9%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-8.7%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

41.3%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

New Mexico’s second congressional district includes all of southern New Mexico and a southern part of Albuquerque. Republican Yvette Herrell and Democrat Xochitl Torres Small are running for the open seat. Herrell wants to shrink the size of government and grow free markets. Torres is fighting to protect public land and make life better for the lower class. The seat has gone to a Republican in the last 4 elections. In the 2016 presidential election 55.6% of the two-party vote went to Trump.

District Updates and Posts

Polls In Our Model NM-02

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct 30-Nov 2    Research & Polling Inc                    413LV     Small 45%    Herrell 46%

Oct 29                 Carroll Strategies                            338LV    Small 42%    Herrell 47%

Oct 24-26           Emerson College                            278LV    Small 47%   Herrell  47%

Oct 19-23            Siena College/New York Times    522LV    Small 44%    Herrell 45%

Sep 30-Oct 2    Tarrance Group                                400LV    Small 45%     Herrell 49%

Sep 13-18           Siena College                                  503LV     Small 46%    Herrell 45%

Sep 7-13             Research & Polling Inc                   405LV     Small 41%     Herrell 48%

Jun 15-16            Caroll Strategies                            334LV     Small 35%    Herrell 49%

Jun 6-11              DCCC Targeting Team                  456RV    Small 43%    Herrell 45%