NY-15 New York's 15th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Jose Serrano

near 100%

100.0%

Jason Gonzalez

near 0%

0.0%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

43.4%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

96.9%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

New York District 15 is a major portion of New York City’s Bronx and is 66% Hispanic. Jose Serrano is the Democratic Incumbent candidate and the only Congressman on the exclusive House Appropriations Committee. This district has been strongly Democratic: more than 95% of votes were Democratic in the Presidential 2012 and 2016 elections and in the 2014 midterm elections. Jason Gonzalez is the conservative Republican candidate in this district. Our predicted outcome is Democratic using only fundamentals.

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