NY-19 New York's 19th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

John Faso

50.3%

55.3%

Antonio Delgado

49.7%

44.7%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-6.9%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

38.7%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

New York District 19 covers most of Southern Albany, along with the New York’s Hudson Valley. It lies somewhat in the metropolitan area in New York’s Northern region. African American Attorney Antonio Delgado is the Democratic candidate running to “restore the American Dream” and Caucasian John Faso is the Republican incumbent in this district who has been appointed to the House Budget, Transportation and Infrastructure, and Agriculture committees. The 2012 Presidential Election resulted in a Democratic outcome by a slight margin(53.16%), however the 2014 and 2016 elections resulted in a Republican triumph by a slightly larger margin leaving the Democrats with only 35% and 46.41% of votes each year, respectively. Our predicted outcome is Republican using only fundamentals.

District Updates and Posts

NY- 19 Polls in Our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

DATE                POLLSTER                                n                            DEM                            REP

SEP 06-10        Monmouth University            327 LV                 DELGADO 53%           FASO 47%

AUG 20-26       Siena College                         501 LV                DELGADO 47%           FASO 53%

JUL 09-12        IMGE Insights                          400 RV               DELGADO  47%          FASO 53%

JUN 27-28        DCCC Targeting Team            545 LV                DELGADO  54%          FASO 46%