NY-21 New York's 21st District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Elise Stefanik

57.1%

92.0%

Tedra Cobb

42.9%

8.0%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-9.5%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

36.1%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

New York District 21 has Vermont as an eastern border and houses a majority of both the Adirondack Mountains and the Thousand Islands region. It also includes the United States’s army site of Fort Drum. Tedra Cobb is the Democratic candidate running to against Elise Stefanik- the Republican incumbent in this district. District 21 voted 53.1% Democratic in 2012 Presidential Elections and 42.6% Democratic in the 2016 Election. Our predicted outcome is Republican using only fundamentals.

District Updates and Posts