NY-23 New York's 23rd District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Tom Reed

53.1%

73.3%

Tracy Mitrano

46.9%

26.7%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-5.3%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

40.3%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

New York District 23 encompasses the south-western part of New York. It Is bordered to the south by Pennsylvania and to the west by lake Erie and includes three Finger Lakes, Keuka, Seneca, and Cayuga. The district includes the cities of Elmira, Jamestown, and Ithaca but is primarily rural. The district is 91.6% White, 2.9% Black, 3.3% Hispanic, and 2.2% Asian.  Democratic candidate Tracy Mitrano is running against Republican incumbent Tom Reed. 49.39% of the district voted Democratic in the 2012 presidential election and 42.14% voted Democratic in the 2016 presidential election.

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