ND-AL North Dakota's At-Large District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Kelly Armstrong

62.2%

100.0%

Mac Schneider

37.8%

0.0%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-14.3%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

31.3%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

North Dakota’s at large congressional district is 89.82% white, 5.63% American Indian and Alaskan Native, 1.03% Asian, 1% Black, and 2.18% Hispanic. After Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer did not seek re-election, Republican Kelly Armstrong won the Republican primary and will run against Democratic former State Senator, Mac Schneider in the general election. This solidly Republican district voted 39.86% Republican in the 2012 presidential election and 30.17% Democratic in the 2016 presidential election.

District Updates and Posts

Polls in our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 22, 2018, 8:35 a.m.


DatePollsterSampleSchneiderArmstrong
Sept. 29 - Oct. 2Fox News
34%51%
Sept. 17-27Strategic Research Associates
31%55%
Sept. 8-11Fox News
34%48%
Aug. 26-28Axis Research
32%53%
Jun. 13-15Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, inc.
35%46%
May 13-14Axis Research
28%48%