OR-05 Oregon's 5th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Kurt Schrader

52.6%

69.3%

Mark Callahan

47.4%

30.7%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

2.7%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

56.3%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Oregon 5 is in the western part of the state. Its area is slightly larger than district 1’s, as well as district 3’s. The district also contains the state’s capital, Salem. The race makeup is 84.3% white, 2.8% Asian, and 1.0% Native American.


Due to redistricting, Oregon 5 existed since 2010. In 2016, incumbent Kurt Schrader (D) defeated Colm Willis (R) by a margin of 10.5%. In 2014, he was also an incumbent, and he defeated Tootie Smith (R) by a margin of 14%. This year, the Republican challenger is Mark Callahan.

District Updates and Posts

OR-05 Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 16, 2018, 7:56 a.m.

Oct 8        Gravis Marketing        359 LV        Schrader 33%        Callahan 56%        

(note: this poll was paid for by Callahan for Congress, while most other polls by Gravis are paid for by the company itself. The results above are for question 2. However, they asked a biased question for question 10: "Knowing Incumbent Kurt Schrader's voting record from the previous questions, if the November election were held today, which candidate would you vote for, Republican Mark Callahan or Democrat Kurt Schrader?")