PA-07 Pennsylvania's 7th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Susan Wild

54.8%

83.6%

Marty Nothstein

45.2%

16.4%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

0.0%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

50.0%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Pennsylvania’s new 7th congressional district encompasses parts of northeast area of the state, including most of the cities of Allentown and Easton, and the surrounding rural areas. It is most similar to the old pre-redistricting district 15, which voted for Trump by 8 points in 2016. The residents of the new district, however, voted more democratic, favoring Clinton by 1 point. The incumbent of the old 15th district, Republican Charlie Dent, chose not to run for re-election. Democratic nominee Susan Wild, an attorney, is running against the Republican nominee Marty Nothstein, a former olympic cyclist. There is also a Libertarian candidate, TV reporter Tim Silfies.

District Updates and Posts

PA-07: Polls in Our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct 14-18    Muhlenberg College    411LV    Susan Wild (D): 48%    Marty Nothstein (R): 41%

Sep 28-Oct 28    DeSales University    1094 RV    Susan Wild (D): 46%    Marty Nothstein (R): 34%

Sep. 21-25    Siena College    539 LV    Susan Wild (D):  50%   Marty Nothstein (R): 42%

Sep. 5-9    Monmouth University    299 LV    Susan Wild (D):  48%   Marty Nothstein (R): 45%

Apr. 24-May 3    Muhlenberg College    408 RV    Susan Wild (D):  42%   Marty Nothstein (R): 31%