PA-08 Pennsylvania's 8th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Matt Cartwright

56.9%

95.8%

John Chrin

43.1%

4.2%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-3.3%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

50.3%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Though Pennsylvania’s new 8th congressional different looks geographically different from the pre-redistricting district 10, both districts favored Trump by 10 points in the 2016 election. Like its predecessor, the new district contains a segment of the northeastern part of the state, including both Democrat and Republican leaning areas, but it has migrated further North. District 10 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) (who has held office since 2013) is running for re-election in new D8 after working on bipartisan legislation in the house. Republican challenger John Chrin is an investment advisor who emphasizes education and job creation.

District Updates and Posts

PA-08 Polls in Our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 22, 2018, 7:51 a.m.

Oct 28-29    Susquehanna Polling & Research inc.    446LV    Cartwright 57%    Chrin 40%

Oct 16-19    Siena College/New York Times    506LV    Cartwright 52%    Chrin 40%