PA-09 Pennsylvania's 9th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Dan Meuser

59.7%

94.2%

Denny Wolff

40.3%

5.8%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-16.4%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

33.6%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Pennsylvania’s new 9th congressional district, which takes up much of eastern PA, is most similar to the old district 11 after the 2018 redistricting. However, it leans more conservative- it no longer contains any major cities, and would’ve voted for Trump by 34 points as opposed to the previous district’s 24 points in the 2016 election. Previous incumbent Lou Barletta is now the Republican nominee for Pennsylvania senate. Taking his place as Republican candidate for D9 is Dan Meuser, a businessman who has experience in local government. His Democratic opponent is Denny Wolff, a 5th-generation dairy farmer who also served as a political appointee under a Democratic governor.

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