TX-07 Texas's 7th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

John Culberson

51.3%

65.5%

Lizzie Pannill Fletcher

48.7%

34.5%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-4.9%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

40.7%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Texas’ 7th congressional district is a C-shaped region west of Houston. It is 100% urban, 45% white, and 32% hispanic. The Republican incumbent, John Culberson, has served since 2001 and describes himself as “a fiscally conservative ‘Jeffersonian Republican’”, but doesn’t have many individual accomplishments as a representative. He won with 56% of the vote in 2016, 63% in 2014, and 61% in 2012. The Democratic challenger, Lizzie Pannell Fletcher, is a lawyer who has been recognized as one of the Best Lawyers in America. Texas 7 is generally seen as a toss-up district.


District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct. 19-25    Siena College/New York Times    499LV    Fletcher 45% Culberson 46%

Sep. 17-18    Public Policy Polling    562 V    Fletcher 47%    Culberson 45%

Sep. 14-18    Siena College/New York Times    500 LV    Fletcher 45%    Culberson 48%

May 23-31    DCCC Targeting Team    404 LV    Fletcher 45%    Culberson 47%