UT-01 Utah's 1st District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Rob Bishop

70.7%

100.0%

Lee Castillo

29.3%

0.0%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-18.6%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

27.1%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Utah’s first district covers the northern part of the state, including Ogden, Logan, and Layton. Republican incumbent Rob Bishop has served the district since 2003 and is Chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee. His challenger Lee Castillo is a political novice, having never served in public office prior to this race. In 2014 and 2016, Bishop won comfortably with over 60% of the vote; current polling shows a similar number this election.

District Updates and Posts

UT-01 Polls in Our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Aug 22-31    Dan Jones & Associates    201 A    Castillo 22%    Bishop 59%

Aug 11-27    Lighthouse Research    600 RV    Castillo 16%    Bishop 51%