VA-04 Virginia's 4th District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Donald McEachin

59.9%

96.2%

Ryan McAdams

40.1%

3.8%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

5.0%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

58.6%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Virginia's 4th Congressional District encompasses most of the area between Richmond and Hampton Roads, and covers all or part of the counties of Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Henrico, Prince George, Southampton, Surry, and Sussex, and all or part of the independent cities of Chesapeake, Colonial Heights, Emporia, Hopewell, Petersburg, Richmond and Suffolk. This district has historically been split in terms of partisanship: Despite Obama and Clinton winning 50% and 59% during 2008 and 2016 respectively, Bush and Romney won 57% and 50% in 2004 and 2012. Republican Ryan McAdams is running against Democratic incumbent Donald McEachin in the 2018 election.

District Updates and Posts