WA-03 Washington's 3rd District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Jaime Herrera Beutler

52.7%

77.6%

Carolyn Long

47.3%

22.4%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-5.5%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

40.1%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

Washington 3 is located in the southwestern part of the state. Its population is 89.8% White, 1.2% Black, 2.6% Asian, and 4.6% Hispanic. Over the last few decades, this district has voted fairly evenly, flip-flopping between Democrat and Republican representatives. Washington 3 has been represented by Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler since 2011. She is up for reelection against Democrat Carolyn Long.

District Updates and Posts

Polls

PoliStat | Oct. 17, 2018, 6:50 p.m.

Oct 14-16    Sienna College/New York Times    324 RV    Long 34%    Herrera Beutler 48%

Oct 14-16    Sienna College/New York Times    324 LV    Long 40%    Herrera Beutler 49%

Oct 09-11    Lake Research Partners                   400 LV    Long 45%    Herrera Beutler 43%

Jun 14-18    Lake Research Partners                   500 LV    Long 37%    Herrera Beutler 42%

Mar 08-12    Lake Research Partners                   400 LV    Long 29%    Herrera Beutler 49%