WV-03 West Virginia's 3rd District

Candidate

Predicted Vote %

Predicted Win %

Carol Miller

53.7%

90.2%

Richard Ojeda

46.3%

9.8%

BPI

Blair Partisan Index

Measures how strongly a district leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party compared to the nation as a whole.

 

-17.6%

SEER Prediction

SEER Prediction

Forecasted Democratic % of vote, without considering national mood or polling.

 

32.4%

District Profile Last Updated: Oct. 5, 2018, 11:47 a.m.

West Virginia’s 3rd congressional district lines in the southern part of the state, bordering Kentucky and Virginia, and includes cities like Huntington. West Virginia’s congressional districts are divided completely along county lines. Mountains run through this district, especially in its eastern portions. This district has typically voted Democrat since 2000 but flipped in 2014 and is currently held by Evan Jenkins of Huntington. Democrat Nick Rahall was able to win seven times from 2000 to 2012, consistently capturing 55% or more of the vote. However, he was defeated as an incumbent in 2014. Richard Ojeda (D) is running against Carol Miller (R) in 2018. Ojeda enlisted in the US Army and graduated from West Virginia State College. Major Ojeda retired from the Army in 2013. Miller studied history and political science at Columbia. She ran for the West Virginia House of Delegates in 2004 but was not elected. 

District Updates and Posts

WV-03 Polls In Our Model

PoliStat | Oct. 11, 2018, 11:13 p.m.

Oct. 28-31    Emerson College                            328 LV    Ojeda 45%    Miller 52%

Oct. 14-18    Siena College/New York Times    490 RV    Ojeda 41%    Miller 46%

Oct. 10-14     Monmouth University                   350 LV    Ojeda 46%    Miller 48%

Sep. 16          DCCC Targeting Team                  540 LV    Ojeda 48%    Miller 44%

Sep. 13-15    Emerson College                           274 RV    Ojeda 36%    Miller 31%

Sep. 8-10      Siena College                                 499 LV    Ojeda 40%    Miller 48%

Jun. 14-19     Monmouth University                   343 LV    Ojeda 48%    Miller 40%